Qualification scenarios for WTC Final 2025

The race for the World Test Championship (WTC) 2023-25 final is heating up with several important factors that could change the qualification scenarios. With the competition entering its final phase, the top two spots have become the most talking point, with multiple teams still in contention for a place in the championship decider.

Australia currently leads the pack, followed closely by India. With India’s recent win in Perth, they have regained momentum after dropping points at home against New Zealand.

The five-match Test series Down Under is being keenly watched by South Africa and Sri Lanka as well. Australia has the advantage of an additional series against Sri Lanka, potentially helping them to recover from any setbacks against India.

Meanwhile, for India, this five-match series is the last chance for them to qualify for the coveted position for the third time in a row. The Rohit-Sharma-led side need to win at least four of their matches Down Under to ensure qualification.

Sri Lanka holds the third position with 55.56% of possible points and is scheduled to play away Tests in South Africa and a home series against Australia. Their recent victory in England has kept their hopes alive, but they will need to secure at least three wins from their remaining four Tests to stay in contention.

New Zealand, fresh off a historic 3-0 series sweep in India, sit fourth with 54.55% of points. Their remaining three-Test series against England will be crucial, likely requiring at least one victory to maintain their chances of reaching the final South Africa holds the fifth place with 54.17%, and has come out as a dark horse following their impressive performances in Bangladesh. With four home Tests remaining against Sri Lanka and Pakistan, they could make a serious push for the final if they maintain their winning momentum.

England’s consecutive losses in Pakistan have severely dented their prospects, leaving them sixth. Their upcoming three-Test series in New Zealand offers them a chance to finish the cycle strongly, though qualification appears unlikely.

Pakistan (33.33%), Bangladesh (27.50%), and West Indies (18.52%) occupy the bottom three positions. While Pakistan could theoretically reach 52.38% with wins in all remaining matches, their chances of reaching the final are minimal. Bangladesh and West Indies are mathematically out of contention.